The crypto market is recovering after a dramatic 2025, and with all the charts showing an impending bull run, investors are expecting it to spill into altcoins. However, analysts warn that charts show what has already happened, not what is about to come.
The total crypto market cap crossed $3 trillion, and Bitcoin crossed above $92K, all while the markets moved out of the stranglehold of fear. With these positive signs on display, traders are expecting a bull rally and an altcoin season, which is confirmed by analysts.
The total crypto market cap crossed and established a new uptrend above the $3 trillion level after multiple failed attempts since mid-December. At times, it rose above this level, but it was just a spike of hype, and it was not able to sustain above this level. However, currently, the market cap has established a solid uptrend, making higher lows, as it reads a value of $3.15 trillion.
In the higher time frame, once the market cap crosses the $3 trillion mark, it just takes off, and the full-fledged bull rally takes over. From there, the capital rotates into the altcoins. Previous bull rallies took over when the market cap crossed $3.6 trillion. Although we are not there yet, the buildup looks solid.
The Fear and Greed Index, which indicates the mood of the investors, shows that the market has moved out of fear and is in a neutral position. This indicator captures volatility, price momentum, the derivatives market, etc., to gauge the sentiment of the market.
Usually when the market recovers from the fear zone while setting a new uptrend, the overall market heals and prices surge. As such, this could be the beginning of a new bull rally.
Meanwhile, BTC has crossed above $92K, which is a significant resistance level. Historically, when Bitcoin crossed above this level with a strong uptrend, it usually ended up hitting six figures. As such, there is enough data to back the idea that this could be the beginning of an uptrend.
Although the indicators are looking very positive and the setup is perfect for a bull rally, analysts cautioned the investors. In a commentary shared with AltCoinDesk, crypto analyst Lavneet Bansal said the following.
The market moving above $3 trillion and Bitcoin crossing $92K are signals, but they mostly describe what already happened. They don’t guarantee what comes next. The idea that an altseason is ‘about to start’ usually needs falling Bitcoin dominance and fresh liquidity, and we’re not clearly there yet.
Lavneet Bansal, crypto analyst
Bansal further added that the Fed expects to hold rates after recent cuts, and there’s some stability, but no fresh liquidity impulse either. At the same time, ongoing geopolitical risks tend to keep investors cautious, which limits broad risk-taking.
Additionally, he made a striking remark, noting that the cycle also appears different because there are far more altcoins than before, with constant unlocks and selling pressure. That makes a market-wide alt rally unlikely. Instead, capital is likely to focus on a small set of strong, liquid altcoins, while most of the rest move sideways.
He even dissed the idea that gains from gold or other safe assets will flow into altcoins, saying, ‘It feels unlikely in the current macro setup.’ The market can still move higher, but it looks more like selective strength than a classic, across-the-board altseason, Bansal stated.
